Playoff prediction

[delawarenole]

Was traveling so had some time and ran the #'s. My prediction for the playoffs - the tie breakers are a bit tough so could be wrong by one or two seeds when they come into play.

School	Wins	Losses	Points (W)	Points (Bonus)	Total Points	Point Index
Archmere Academy	14	1	28	17​	45	3.000
Salesianum School	11	4	22	20​	42	2.800
Sanford School	13	2	26	15​	41	2.733
DE Military Academy	11	3	22	13​	35	2.500
Cape Henlopen HS	11	3	22	12​	34	2.429
Caesar Rodney HS	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Wilm Friends School	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Appoquinimink HS	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Tower Hill School	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Caravel Academy	10	5	20	14​	34	2.267
St. Andrew's School	11	4	22	11​	33	2.200
Sussex Academy	12	3	24	9​	33	2.200
Charter School of Wilmington	8	6	16	12​	28	2.000
Middletown HS	9	5	18	10​	28	2.000
St. Georges Tech HS	11	3	22	6​	28	2.000
Concord HS	11	4	22	7​	29	1.933

I made three assumptions:
Appo > Charter
Concord > FSMA
Middletown > Smyrna

1st Round games if my points are right:

1 Archmere vs 16 Concord
8 Appo vs 9 Tower Hill

4 DMA vs 13 Charter
5 Cape vs 12 Sussex Academy

2 Sals vs 15 STG
7 Friends vs 10 Caravel

3 Sanford vs MTown
6 CR vs 11 St Andrews

A few notes:
Sallies and Cape on opposite sides of the bracket which is good.
5 way tie between Appo, CA, Friends, TH and CR
If Mtown loses to Smyrna they are out, FSMA is in at 16 and a few teams slide up.
Appo vs TH and CR vs St Andrews are cool games you dont see and probably pretty good games. The rest are a lot of rematches and blow outs.

Could be off a bonus point here or there and that makes a huge difference but think this will be pretty close to where it lands on Saturday.

 

[delawarenole]

Was traveling so had some time and ran the #'s. My prediction for the playoffs - the tie breakers are a bit tough so could be wrong by one or two seeds when they come into play.

School	Wins	Losses	Points (W)	Points (Bonus)	Total Points	Point Index
Archmere Academy	14	1	28	17​	45	3.000
Salesianum School	11	4	22	20​	42	2.800
Sanford School	13	2	26	15​	41	2.733
DE Military Academy	11	3	22	13​	35	2.500
Cape Henlopen HS	11	3	22	12​	34	2.429
Caesar Rodney HS	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Wilm Friends School	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Appoquinimink HS	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Tower Hill School	9	6	18	16​	34	2.267
Caravel Academy	10	5	20	14​	34	2.267
St. Andrew's School	11	4	22	11​	33	2.200
Sussex Academy	12	3	24	9​	33	2.200
Charter School of Wilmington	8	6	16	12​	28	2.000
Middletown HS	9	5	18	10​	28	2.000
St. Georges Tech HS	11	3	22	6​	28	2.000
Concord HS	11	4	22	7​	29	1.933

I made three assumptions:
Appo > Charter
Concord > FSMA
Middletown > Smyrna

1st Round games if my points are right:

1 Archmere vs 16 Concord
8 Appo vs 9 Tower Hill

4 DMA vs 13 Charter
5 Cape vs 12 Sussex Academy

2 Sals vs 15 STG
7 Friends vs 10 Caravel

3 Sanford vs MTown
6 CR vs 11 St Andrews

A few notes:
Sallies and Cape on opposite sides of the bracket which is good.
5 way tie between Appo, CA, Friends, TH and CR
If Mtown loses to Smyrna they are out, FSMA is in at 16 and a few teams slide up.
Appo vs TH and CR vs St Andrews are cool games you dont see and probably pretty good games. The rest are a lot of rematches and blow outs.

Could be off a bonus point here or there and that makes a huge difference but think this will be pretty close to where it lands on Saturday.

So heard from an AD today that I am off a bit and It’s CR,Appo, TH, Friends then Caracel.

map the games would change a bit:

7 Appo vs 10 CA
8 TH vs 9 Friends

 

[delawarenole]

So heard from an AD today that I am off a bit and It’s CR,Appo, TH, Friends then Caracel.

map the games would change a bit:

7 Appo vs 10 CA
8 TH vs 9 Friends

Reran my numbers and I am sticking with my original predictions

 

[Seerock9223]

Seeds should be out by now. Any idea when?

 

[delawarenole]

Seeds should be out by now. Any idea when?

I heard I was indeed wrong and TH vs Friends and Appo vs CA is right. So I think if you swap them that’s accurate.

 

[Seerock9223]

So Appo played a tougher schedule and got more bonus points than TH? Just trying to get a handle on the points.

 

[delawarenole]

So Appo played a tougher schedule and got more bonus points than TH? Just trying to get a handle on the points.

I had them tied in points so it might have come down to common opponents or W/L % tie breaker.

Some pretty good first round match ups