WDEL/DE Sports Zone point projections after Week 8

[GateKeeperRefugee]

These next two weeks are going to be fun

First up, D1:

Point System
Division I Opponent: 6 Points for a win, 1 Point for a Loss
Division II Opponent: 4 Points for a win, 0 Points for a Loss
Bonus Points: 1 for 7 or 8 opponent wins, 2 for 9 or 10 wins
September 30, 2015 attendance count boundary: 1,086 students, or 543 for all-male schools

Out-Of-State Opponents (Recent Changes in Bold)
Division I: Oakdale (8-1), Interboro, Queen Anne’s (8-1), Baltimore Poly, Father Judge
Division II: Lower Cape May,

Bonus Point Opponents
7 Wins: Interboro, Oakdale, Queen Anne’s, Middletown, Smyrna, William Penn, DMA, St. Georges
9 Wins:

1) Middletown (8-0, +1) – 49 Points (6.13) – (@Newark, Concord)

2) Smyrna (8-0) – 46 Points (5.75) – (@Cape, Poly)

3) William Penn (7-1, +2) – 43 Points (5.38) – (Charter, @Delcastle)

4) Concord (6-2, +1) – 37 Points (4.63) – (Delcastle, @MTown)

T-5) Cape Henlopen (6-2, +1) – 34 Points (4.25) – (Smyrna, SusTech)

T-5) Salesianum (5-3, +3) – 34 Points (4.25) – (SusTech, StMarks)

T-5) Sussex Central (5-3, +3) – 34 Points (4.25) – (Dover, IR)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Appoquinimink (4-4, +3) – 31 Points (3.88) – (AI, @Mount)

Sussex Tech (5-3, +1) – 31 Points (3.88) – (@Sals, @Cape)

Mount Pleasant (4-4, +2) – 28 Points (3.50) – (@Howard, Appo)

And D2:

POINT STANDINGS

Division I Opponent: 6 Points for a win, 1 Point for a Loss
Division II Opponent: 4 Points for a win, 0 Points for a Loss
Bonus Points: 1 for 7 or 8 opponent wins, 2 for 9 or 10 wins

Out of State Schools Divisions (Subject to Verification, BOLD = Update from original post)
Division I: Linganore (6-3), Elkton (8-1)
Division II: New Church, Harford Tech, Perkiomen (5-3), George, St. John Paul (VA), Broadwater Academy, John Carroll, Saint Mary’s, Sidwell Friends, Silver Oak, Academy of New Church, Perryville, Bishop McDevitt, Morrisville, Smithsburg, Capitol Christian

7 WINS: Elkton, Smyrna, Woodbridge, Glasgow, Milford, DMA, St. Georges, Friends, William Penn
9 WINS:

1) Woodbridge (8-0, +2) – 38 Points (4.75) – (@Laurel, Delmar)

2) Glasgow (8-0) – 34 Points (4.25) – (@Dickinson, SGT)

3) DMA (7-1, +1) – 33 Points (4.13) – (@Archmere, Conrad)

4) St. Georges (7-1, +1) – 32 Points (4.00) – (Christiana, @Glasgow)

5) Milford (7-1, +2) – 30 Points (3.75) – (Delmar, @Lake)

6) Friends (7-1, +1) – 29 Points (3.63) – (Morrisville, Tower)

7) Caravel (5-3, +2) – 27 Points (3.38) – (Hodgson, CapitolChristian)

T-8) Tatnall (6-2, +1) – 25 Points (3.13) – (@Conrad, St.Andrews)

T-8) Tower Hill (6-2, +1) – 25 Points (3.13) – (OPEN, @Friends)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Delmar (6-2) – 24 Points (3.00) – (@Milford, @Wood)

Saint Mark’s (5-3, +2) – 24 Points (3.00) – (STE, @Sals)

Howard (4-4, +3) – 20 Points (2.50) – (MP, Dickinson)

Saint Elizabeth (4-4, +2) – 19 Points (2.38) – (@StMarks, Archmere)

Hodgson (4-4, +2) – 18 Points (2.25) – (@Caravel, @Brandy)

Conrad (4-4, +1) – 17 Points (2.12) – (Tatnall, @DMA)

Laurel (3-5, +2) – 17 Points (2.12) – (Wood, Seaford)

Archmere (4-4) – 16 Points (2.00) – (DMA, @StE)

 

[shorebilly]

Interboro has nine wins

 

[ravensrooster2]

Cape is toast.. Again..

 

[hoopsdownstate]

Cape is toast.. Again..

Cape is out.... Sallies and Central in... Agreed..

 

[defootball2016]

can someone please explain to me why Milford is getting a win for no playing St. Andrews???? st. Andrews played seaford that week and seaford got the points for the win. How can 2 teams get the same win vs the same team in the same week!!!! makes no sense. Milford should only have 6 wins!!!

 

[bbmvp]

can someone please explain to me why Milford is getting a win for no playing St. Andrews???? st. Andrews played seaford that week and seaford got the points for the win. How can 2 teams get the same win vs the same team in the same week!!!! makes no sense. Milford should only have 6 wins!!!

St. Andrews forfeited, they took Milford off their schedule to play Seaford instead. This was discussed earlier in the year. I'm pretty sure it was too late for Milford to find another opponent too.

 

[defootball2016]

St. Andrews forfeited, they took Milford off their schedule to play Seaford instead. This was discussed earlier in the year. I'm pretty sure it was too late for Milford to find another opponent too.

But that makes no sense!!! how can they forfeit to a team and play another team the same week????? Milford should have 6 wins, they only will play 9 games.... DIAA should not let st. Andrews forfeit and still play another team the same week.

 

[bbmvp]

Not sure how it happened or how it works. You'd think DIAA would have forced St. Andrews to play considering you sign a 2 year contract with a team I believe it is. You can't penalize Milford though, when St. Andrews just got up and dropped them off their schedule.

 

[ravensrooster2]

Milford got the forfeit and points..Seaford vs St Andrews was just an exhibition game.. no points awarded not that it matters

 

[defootball2016]

Not sure how it happened or how it works. You'd think DIAA would have forced St. Andrews to play considering you sign a 2 year contract with a team I believe it is. You can't penalize Milford though, when St. Andrews just got up and dropped them off their schedule.

they dropped them last school year, how is this not enough time???

 

[defootball2016]

Milford got the forfeit and points..Seaford vs St Andrews was just an exhibition game.. no points awarded not that it matters

how do you know this RR?

 

[ravensrooster2]

how do you know this RR?

because Milford had a contract.. Its a conference game that is scheduled every year.. Seaford decided to just forfeit and play St Andrews because the points dont matter to them

 

[defootball2016]

because Milford had a contract.. Its a conference game that is scheduled every year.. Seaford decided to just forfeit and play St Andrews because the points dont matter to them

it was not a conf game, milford still played seaford. st. Andrews decided to cancel the game and gave milford plenty of time to get another team.

 

[ravensrooster2]

it was not a conf game, milford still played seaford. st. Andrews decided to cancel the game and gave milford plenty of time to get another team.

doesn't matter how much time was given.. If you have a contract and the other team bails its a forfeit. the contract was a two year deal from 2015

 

[delawarenole]

St. Andrews forfeited, they took Milford off their schedule to play Seaford instead. This was discussed earlier in the year. I'm pretty sure it was too late for Milford to find another opponent too.

That sucks. But a forfeit is a win still.

 

[delawarenole]

Looks like Cape & Tower Hill two going to get left out.

Crazy things can happen though but with remaining schedule think that's what happens.

 

[delawarenole]

How does D2 work - 1 vs 8, 2 vs 7, 3 vs 6 and 4 vs 5?

No first round bye due to 8 teams I assume.

If that's the case and it finishes like it is today Glasgow vs Caravel 1st round WOW. DMA & Woodbridge get SPL teams while Glasgow and STG get HARD first round games in Caravel / Milford.

 

[ravensrooster2]

How does D2 work - 1 vs 8, 2 vs 7, 3 vs 6 and 4 vs 5?

No first round bye due to 8 teams I assume.

If that's the case and it finishes like it is today Glasgow vs Caravel 1st round WOW. DMA & Woodbridge get SPL teams while Glasgow and STG get HARD first round games in Caravel / Milford.

CA is likely going to be a 7 or 6 seed.. bonus points coming +1 Cape(maybe) +1 Elkton +1 Sals +1 Concord +1 Delmar (maybe if they can beat Milford)

 

[defootball2016]

what if CA loses to HVT??

 

[WayneJay]

I don't see Caravel at +2 (yet). The only bonus point they have earned so far is Elkton.

 

[ravensrooster2]

I don't see Caravel at +2 (yet). The only bonus point they have earned so far is Elkton.

because there not hence why i said "coming"

 

[WayneJay]

because there not hence why i said "coming"

RR2, I wasn't replying to your post (I understood that you were speculating). I was referring to Sean's original calc that got transferred from DE Sportszone at the top of this thread...

 

[ravensrooster2]

RR2, I wasn't replying to your post (I understood that you were speculating). I was referring to Sean's original calc that got transferred from DE Sportszone at the top of this thread...

oh ok my bad ..you are correct they should only be +1 for Elkton CA has 26 pts

 

[delawarenole]

Good question above - what if CA loses to HVT will they still make it?

Last team they play sucks I think so that means they are 6-4 if they lose to HVT.

Think they still get in but I am not the expert.

 

[jwb703]

If CA wins out, I think they get to 38pts (+5 bonus), 3.8/game, getting them like #6 seed. Lose one and they're back to 33-34pts and #8 seed, maybe

 

[ravensrooster2]

Good question above - what if CA loses to HVT will they still make it?

Last team they play sucks I think so that means they are 6-4 if they lose to HVT.

Think they still get in but I am not the expert.

They still should get in,.. Projections had them in if they lost to Cape and won out,, Beating Cape is worth more pts than beating HVT

 

[defootball2016]

no one really knows, remember, these are projections for a reason. Crazy things happen every year.

 

[ravensrooster2]

no one really knows, remember, these are projections for a reason. Crazy things happen every year.

well I suppose North East could beat Elkton..not.. Capitol Christian is on a 2 game win streak besting the SEED school and Crossland

 

[WayneJay]

Good question above - what if CA loses to HVT will they still make it?

Last team they play sucks I think so that means they are 6-4 if they lose to HVT.

Think they still get in but I am not the expert.

A Caravel loss to HVT would give St. Mark's and Tower Hill a chance to move up and keep Caravel out. Caravel would be 6-4; St Mark's winning out (remaining games - St E's & Sallies) would get them to 7-3 and Tower Hill winning its last game (Friends) would get them to 7-2.

Taking (likely) bonus points into consideration, St. Mark's & Tower Hill would be in and Caravel would be the first team out @ the 9 spot ...

 

[ravensrooster2]

A Caravel loss to HVT would give St. Mark's and Tower Hill a chance to move up and keep Caravel out. Caravel would be 6-4; St Mark's winning out (remaining games - St E's & Sallies) would get them to 7-3 and Tower Hill winning its last game (Friends) would get them to 7-2.

Taking (likely) bonus points into consideration, St. Mark's & Tower Hill would be in and Caravel would be the first team out @ the 9 spot ...

well ST Marks would have to beat Sals and Tower Hill would have to beat Friends and CA would have to lose to HVT.. not a likely scenerio

 

[Throwbackjack]

If CA wins out, I think they get to 38pts (+5 bonus), 3.8/game, getting them like #6 seed. Lose one and they're back to 33-34pts and #8 seed, maybe

Actually, it appears that 38 points will net them a 7 seed. Seeding and match-ups will come down to who wins St. Georges v Glasgow and to a lesser extent if Delmar c

well ST Marks would have to beat Sals and Tower Hill would have to beat Friends and CA would have to lose to HVT.. not a likely scenerio

Bottom half of bracket seems more set than top half. Friends will end up with 39 points and 6 seed, Caravel will end up with 38 points and a 7th seed and Tatnall will garner the 8th seed with 33 points. If Delmar can beat Milford and St. Georges wins against Glasgow, then that shuffles the order in the top 5.

 

[WayneJay]

well ST Marks would have to beat Sals and Tower Hill would have to beat Friends and CA would have to lose to HVT.. not a likely scenerio

I agree it's an unlikely combination, but sometimes those rivalry games produce upsets.

 

[ravensrooster2]

I agree it's an unlikely combination, but sometimes those rivalry games produce upsets.

I guess you gotta have hope

 

[defootball2016]

can Conrad beat tatnal?

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

can Conrad beat tatnal?

Conrad actually rallied from I think it was 17 down last year to beat Tatnall, so there's recent history.