2019 Girls Basketball Tournament Point Projections 5.0

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Last one before 302 Sports reveals it all tomorrow. I'm competitive so I'm looking forward to seeing how close my projections are. That said, here's what I have after tonight's games:

1. St. E 17x2 +1+1+2+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2+1+2+1 55/20 = 2.75
2. Sanford 16x2 +1+2+2+2+1+2+1+1+2+1+1+1+1+1+2+1 54/20 = 2.7
3. Conrad 15x2 +1+1+2+1+1+2+1+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2 52/2.6
4. Woodbridge 20x2 +2+2+2+2+2 50/20 = 2.5
5. St. Thomas More 16x2 +2+1+1+2+1+2+2+2+2+2 49/20 = 2.45
6. Hodgson 16x2 +2+2+1+1+1+2+2+2+2+1 48/20 = 2.4
7. Caravel 12x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+2+1+2+2+1+1+1+2+2 47/20 = 2.35 (SOS over Cape)
8. Cape 17x2 +1+1+2+1+2+1+2+2+2 47/20 = 2.35
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9. St. Georges 16x2 +1+2+1+1+2+2+2+1+2 46/20 = 2.3
10. Sussex Central 13x2 +2+2+2+1+2+2+1+2+2+1 45/20 = 2.25 (SOS over Tech)
11. Sussex Tech 14x2 +1+1+1+2+2+2+1+2+1+2+2 45/20 = 2.25
12. Howard 16x2 +2+1+1+1+2+2+1+1 43/20 = 2.15 (H2H over Delcastle)
13. Delcastle 15x2 +1+2+1+1+1+1+1+2+1+2 43/2.15 (H2H over Wilmington Christian)
14. Wilmington Christian 13x2 +2+1+2+2+1+1+2+1+1+1+2+1 43/20 = 2.15
15. Mt. Pleasant 12x2 +2+1+2+2+1+1+2+2+2+1+1 41/20 2.05
16. Delmarva Christian 15x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+2 41/20 2.05
17. Ursuline 7x2 +1+2+1+1+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2+2+2 36/18 = 2.00 (SOS over Charter)
18. Charter 13x2 +2+2+1+2+1+1+1+2+1+1 40/20 = 2.00 (SOS over Lake)
19. Lake Forest 16x2 +2+2+2 40/20 = 2.00
20. Archmere 12x2 +2+1+1+1+1+1+1+2+2+2+1 39/20 = 1.95 (H2H over Tatnall)
21. Tatnall 10x2 +2+1+1+2+1+2+1+1+1+1+2+1+1+1+1 39/20 = 1.95
22. Tower Hill 11x2 +1+1+1+2+2+1+2+1+1+1+2 37/20 = 1.85 (SOS over Poly)
23. Polytech 11x2 +2+2+1+2+2+2+1+1+2 37/20 = 1.85 (SOS over Penn)
24. Penn 13x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2 37/20 = 1.85
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25. Indian River 10x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2+1+2+2 36/20 = 1.8
26. Newark Charter 11x2 +2+2+1+2+2+1+1+1+2 36/20 = 1.8
27. Friends 12x2 +1+2+1+1+1+2+2+1+1 36/20 = 1.8
28. McKean 15x2 +1+2+1+1+1 36/20 = 1.8
29. Padua 11x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+1+1+1 34/20 = 1.7
30. Dover 10x2 +2+1+1+2+2+2+1+1+2+1+1 34/20 = 1.7

So if this is close to accurate, Tuesday's first round should be:

9) St. Georges vs. 24) Penn (winner gets 8 Cape)
10 Sussex Central vs. 23) Polytech (winner gets 7 Caravel)
11) Sussex Tech vs. 22) Tower Hill (winner gets 6 Hodgson)
12) Howard vs. 21) Tatnall (winner gets 5 STMA)
13) Delcastle vs. 20) Archmere (winner gets 4 Woodbridge)
14) Wilmington Christian vs. 19) Lake Forest (winner gets 3 Conrad)
15) Mt. Pleasant vs. 18) Charter (winner gets 2 Sanford)
16) Delmarva Christian vs. 17) Ursuline (winner gets 1 St. E)

 

[EducatedEye]

Sanford and Conrad on the same side is a just not right....

 

[DoItWrite]

So what jumps out, as EE mentioned, is Sanford and Conrad on the same side. St. Elizabeth would take this bracket in a heartbeat, even though Woodbridge, Cape and St. Thomas More are potential opponents. What the Vikings would not like is a possible fourth game against Ursuline. That would scare the bejesus out of me no matter how Ursuline's season has gone.

 

[Downstate4]

Cape handles Woodbridge easily.. Love to see Cape vs St.E.. A second time

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

That's IF St. E gets by Ursuline a 4th time, as DIW mentioned above. Cape can definitely win that quarterfinal.

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Oh yeah, and my projections were off by a bit but I was close in some cases. I'll take it.