2019 Girls Hoops Tournament Point Projections 1.0

[ReturnOfTheGate]

We have less than 3 weeks left in the regular season and as we understand, by head to head results or weather, these point projections are indeed subject to change, but this is what I have so far:

(Top 8 seeds get byes into the 2nd round)

1. St. E 12x2 +1+2+2+1+2+2+1+1+2 38/14 = 2.71
2. Sanford 10x2 +2+2+2+1+2+1+1+1+2+1+1 36/14 = 2.57
3. St. Thomas More 9x2 +2+1+1+1+2+1+2 28/11 = 2.54
4. Sussex Tech 12x2 +1+1+1+2+2+1+2+1+2+1 38/15 = 2.53
5. Woodbridge 15x2 +1+2+2+2 37/15 = 2.46
6. St. Georges 12x2 +1+2+2+2+2+1 34/14 = 2.42
7. Conrad 10x2 +1+2+1+1+2+1+2+1+1+2+2 36/15 = 2.4
8. Howard 12x2 +2+2+1+1+1+2+2 35/15 = 2.33
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9. Polytech 9x2 2+2+1+2+1+2+2+2 32/14 = 2.28
10. Sussex Central 12x2 +2+1+2+1+1+2+2+2+1+1+2 41/18 = 2.27
11. Hodgson 13x2 +2+2+1+1+2+2 36/16 = 2.25
12. Delcastle 13x2 +1+1+2+1+1+1+2+1 36/16 = 2.25
13. Caravel 8x2 +2+1+2+1+2+1+1+2+1+2+2 33/15 = 2.2
14. Cape 12x2 +1+1+2+1+1+2+1 33/15 = 2.2
15. Delmarva Christian 10x2 +1+2+1+1+2+2+1 30/14 = 2.14
16. Wilmington Christian 9x2 +2+2+2+1+1+2+1+1+2 32/15 = 2.13
17. Mt. Pleasant 8x2 +2+1+1+2+1+2+2+2 29/14 = 2.071
18. Lake Forest 14x2 +1+1+2+1 33/16 = 2.06
19. Charter 10x2 +2+1+2+2+1+1 29/15 = 1.93
20. Friends 8x2 +1+2+1+1+1+1+2+2 27/14 = 1.928
21. Delmar 8x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2 27/14 = 1.928
22. McKean 12x2 +1+2 27/14 = 1.928
23. Dover 7x2 +2+1+1+2+2+2+1 25/13 = 1.923
24. Tatnall 7x2 +2+1+2+1+2+1+1 24/13 = 1.84
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25. Ursuline 5x2 +2+1+1+2+1+1+2+2 22/12 = 1.83
26. Indian River 7x2 +2+2+2+1+2+1+2+1+2+2 31/17 = 1.823
27. Penn 7x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2 25/14 = 1.785
28. Tower Hill 7x2 +1+1+1+1+2+1+2 23/13 1.769
29. Padua 7x2 +1+2+1+2+2+1+1 24/14 = 1.71
30. Newark Charter 8x2 +1+1+2+2+2+1+1+1 27/16 = 1.68
31. Appo 5x2 +1+2+2+2+2+1+1+2 23/14 = 1.64
32. Archmere 9x2 +2+1+1+1+1 24/15 = 1.6
33. St. Andrews 6x2 +1+1+1+1+1+2 19/12 = 1.58
34. Seaford 7x2 +2+2+2+1+2+2 25/16 = 1.56
35. St. Mark’s 6x2 1+1+2+2+2+1 21/14 = 1.5
36. Christiana 7x2 +2+1+2+2 21/15 = 1.4
37. Brandywine 7x2 +1+2+1+1 19/15 = 1.266

So if the first round were to start today, the match-ups would be:

9) Polytech vs. 24) Tatnall
10) Central vs. 23) Dover
11) Hodgson vs. 22) McKean
12) Delcastle vs. 21) Delmar
13) Caravel vs. 20) Friends
14) Cape vs. 19) Charter
15) Delmarva Christian vs. 18) Lake Forest
16) Wilmington Christian vs. 17) Mt. Pleasant

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Updated on Sunday with this weekend's results included. Next separate thread update will be next Sunday. Take a look and let's talk about it.

 

[SenatorPride]

Updated on Sunday with this weekend's results included. Next separate thread update will be next Sunday. Take a look and let's talk about it.

When was the last time Ursuline didn't make the tournament?

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

It would have to be the late 70s/early 80s as my best guess because I'm only in my 30s and I can't recall a time Ursuline didn't make the tournament. They'll probably still get in on bonus points though.

 

[Winner321]

If st es loses to Conrad where does that seed them?

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

St. E would drop probably no lower than 4th because a Conrad loss will likely still end up being worth 2 points and if they win the rest of their games, they'd probably have a high point index than St. Thomas More and one equal or close to equal that of Sanford and Sussex Tech.

 

[Winner321]

Could sanford end up number 1?

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

St. E would probably have to lose another game or two.

 

[Downstate4]

Cape will be in top 8.. Racking up a lot of bonus points .. Just beat Sussex Tech..

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Saw that last night. Hopefully I can have a new thread up with updated projections after tomorrow's Conrad-Ursuline matinee.