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SNOW DAY! One last bracket projection before Friday

ReturnOfTheGate

All-Conference
Mar 13, 2018
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Being able to work from home has its privileges, like calculating one last go round before Thursday's make up games are factored into the bracket drawing Friday morning/afternoon. The moving parts are just about stationary, so let's take a look.

1. St. E 17x2 +1+1+2+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2+1+2+1 55/20 = 2.75
2. Sanford 16x2 +1+2+2+2+1+2+1+1+2+1+1+1+1+1+2+1 54/20 = 2.7
3. Conrad 15x2 +1+1+2+1+1+2+1+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2 52/20 = 2.6
4. Woodbridge 20x2 +2+2+2+1+2+2 51/20 = 2.55
5. Cape 17x2 +1+1+1+2+1+2+1+2+2+2 49/20 = 2.45 (SOS over STMA)
6. St. Thomas More 16x2 +2+1+1+2+1+2+2+2+2+2 49/20 = 2.45 (H2H over Hodgson)
7. Hodgson 16x2 +2+2+1+1+1+1+2+2+2+2+1 49/20 = 2.45
8. Sussex Tech 14x2 +1+1+1+2+2+2+1+2+1+2+2 45/19 = 2.36
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9. Caravel 12x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+2+1+2+2+1+1+1+2+2 47/20 = 2.35 (H2H over Central)
10. Sussex Central 13x2 +2+2+2+1+2+2+2+1+2+2+1 47/20 = 2.35
11. St. Georges 16x2 +1+2+1+1+2+2+2+1+2 46/20 = 2.3
12. Howard 16x2 +2+1+1+1+2+2+1+1 43/20 = 2.15 (H2H over Delcastle)
13. Delcastle 15x2 +1+2+1+1+1+1+1+2+1+2 43/20 = 2.15 (H2H over WC)
14. Wilmington Christian 13x2 +2+1+2+2+1+1+2+1+1+1+2+1 43/20 = 2.15
15. Polytech 11x2 +2+2+2+1+2+2+2+1+1+2 39/19 = 2.052
16. Mt. Pleasant 12x2 +2+1+2+2+1+1+2+2+2+1+1 41/20 2.05 (SOS over DC)
17. Delmarva Christian 15x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+2 41/20 2.05
18. Ursuline 7x2 +1+2+1+1+2+1+1+2+2+1+2+2+2+2 36/18 = 2.00 (SOS over Charter)
19. Charter 13x2 +2+2+1+2+1+1+1+2+1+1 40/20 = 2.00 (SOS over Lake)
20. Lake Forest 16x2 +2+2+2 40/20 = 2.00
21. Archmere 12x2 +2+1+1+1+1+1+1+2+2+2+1 39/20 = 1.95 (H2H over Tatnall)
22. Tatnall 10x2 +2+1+1+2+1+2+1+1+1+1+2+1+1+1+1 39/20 = 1.95
23. Penn 12x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2 35/19 = 1.84 (SOS over McKean)
24. McKean 15x2 +1+2+1+1 35/19 = 1.84
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25. Indian River 10x2 +2+2+2+2+1+2+1+2+2 36/20 = 1.8 (SOS over Newark Charter)
26. Newark Charter 11x2 +2+2+1+2+2+1+1+1+2 36/20 = 1.8 (SOS over Friends)
27. Friends 12x2 +1+2+1+1+1+2+2+1+1 36/20 = 1.8
28. Padua 11x2 +2+1+1+2+2+1+1+1+1 34/20 = 1.75
29. Dover 9x2 +2+1+1+2+2+2+1+1+2+1 33/19 = 1.736 (SOS over Tower Hill)
30. Tower Hill 10x2 +1+1+1+2+2+1+2+1+1+1 33/19 = 1.736

If we were starting tomorrow:

9) Caravel vs. 24) McKean (winner gets 8 Sussex Tech)
10) Central vs. 23) Penn (winner gets 7 Hodgson)
11) St. Georges vs. 22) Tatnall (winner gets 6 STMA)
12) Howard vs. 21) Archmere (winner gets 5 Cape)
13) Delcastle vs. 20) Lake (winner gets 4 Woodbridge)
14) Wilmington Christian vs. 19) Wilmington Charter (winner gets 3 Conrad)
15) Polytech vs. 18) Ursuline (winner gets 2 Sanford)
16) Mt. Pleasant vs. 17) Delmarva Christian (winner gets 1 St. E)
 
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Now that we know Thursday is the official drop dead date for games, here's what happens with those:

McKean vs. Tower Hill: Simple for McKean - win and you're in. Lose and you're at the mercy of tiebreakers and of course you'd lose the head to head with Tower Hill. Hillers need some math to really do some mathin', but a win gives them 11 and a bonus point for all who played them this year.

Doesn't look like Ursuline/GC is going to be made up because GC has a game tomorrow so it looks like they're set at 18.

Sussex Tech vs. St. Mark's: Doesn't mean anything for St. Mark's, but Tech getting to 15 wins is an extra bonus point for all their opponents. No matter what, Caravel will jump them for the 8th seed and final first round bye.

William Penn at Smyrna: A win and Penn's in. A loss opens the door for the teams behind them.

Polytech vs. Dover: Dover needs a miracle. Poly stays at 15 with a win, could drop all the way to 22nd with a loss but they're in regardless.
 
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St. Mark's shocks Sussex Tech, which means just 1 bonus point for their opponents. That could change a few things around.
 
Tower defeats McKean 37-22 so McKean, 16-4 probably won't make the tournament. Tower Hill is in as of right now. Penn is the last team in, has to beat Smyrna to hold on to that final spot.
 
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