not that much of a stretch will have to beat Cape.. Silver Oak and Capitol are no contest,, HVT might present a problem if CA can get past Cape but I believe CA would prevail in that one .. It comes down to the Cape game at Cape and its Capes Homecoming..Tall order for sure but doable
The St. Mark's win gets Caravel to 15 points & winning out would get them up to 33 (15+4+6+4+4).
Bonus point possibilities - 1 bp given for each 7 or 8 win opponent / 2 bps given for each 9 or 10 win opponent:
CONCORD is at 5-0 & would get to 7 wins if they beat Wilmington Charter & Delcastle. To get to 9 wins, they would also have to win 2 of their other 3 games (Salesianum tonight, William Penn and Middletown).
ELKTON is at 6-1 and will be a favorite in their remaining three games, so they stand a good chance of getting to 9-1.
DELMAR & ARCHMERE
Delmar would have to win 4 of their last 5 to get to 7 wins & their remaining schedule includes games at Milford and Woodbridge. Also, Delmar's most likely path to 7 wins would block Archmere from getting to 7; the Auks have already lost 3 and they play Delmar today. Archmere would have to win out to get to 7 wins, which would have to include beating DMA and St. Elizabeth. The best Caravel scenario would be Archmere winning out, with Delmar winning their other 4 games (Delmar and Archmere would then both be 7-3 and Caravel would get a bonus point from each of them).
SALESIANUM would have to win 4 of their last 5 to get to 7 wins & their remaining schedule includes Concord (today), William Penn & the St. Mark's rivalry game at the end of the regular season.
ST. MARK'S would have to win 3 of their last 4 to get to 7 wins & their remaining schedule is St. Georges, Hodgson, St. Elizabeth and Salesianum.
SILVER OAK (MD) & CAPITOL CHRISTIAN (MD)
based on their current records, neither can get to 7 wins at this point.
CAPE HENLOPEN is at 5-1 & would get to 7 wins if they win 2 of these 3 (CR, Sussex Tech and Smyrna). The first assumption (Caravel winning out), would block Cape from getting to 9 wins.
HODGSON
If Caravel wins out, then Hodgson would have to win their other 4 games to get to 7 wins. Their 4 remaining opponents include St. Georges (today) and St. Mark's.
Sounds like a possible + 4 on the low side and a possible + 8 on the high side …