My opinion is DMA moves up….Laurel moved up…Odessa moves up….rumors Appo or HVT moves down. ..I would of thought STG over Appo
Why on earth would anyone think Appo or STG would go down? No way the formula would have either of those two below the top 12. Besides they have to get to 12 3A's before anyone from 3A goes down anyway. For the formula to drop any of these guys from 3A they would have to be really bad for a few years. Like 1-9 and 2-8 bad.
The enrollment portion (50%) of the formula will be based on this years enrollment and Odessa only has 3 classes so unless they estimate what the 4th class will bring in 2023 they probably won't be ranked ahead of St E's or Laurel. Maybe if they win the championship this year they go up, Maybe,, They could ask to go up and be granted that I suppose
Remember Howard was ranked 9th in the formula not 12.
"Rick Jensen show last night with Sean Green as a guest and Sean said that according to the formula (50% enrollment, 30% 3 year record, 20% 5 year record), Howard was ranked 9th in the state. Sean also said Howard had something around 850-900 students. That's only 150-200 less than the current D1 break point."
I don't think HVT will be going anywhere either, not yet. One or two bad years isn't going to move anyone. Remember HVT just won a D1 championship in 2019
HVT's last 5 seasons
2021 C3A 2-8
2020 D1 5-2
2019 D1 12-0 champion
2018 D1 10-0 reg season lost semi 18-20 to Sallies
2017 D1 8-2 reg season lost semi to Smyrna
Appo's last 5
2021 C3A 6-4 plus won a playoff game
2020 D1 3-4
2019 D1 4-6
2018 D1 6-4 lost 1st round to Central
2017 D1 3-7
STG last 5
2021 C3A 8-2 lost Dover 2nd round
2020 D1 5-2 lost semi 7-13 to MT
2019 D1 5-5
2018 D1 5-5
2017 D1 4-6
Cape and CR's enrollment numbers will keep them up..
No one currently in C3A will be going anywhere the only question is who will come up and make 12... DMA wants it so I say give it to them.