Division II Playoff Scenarios

[Porky Bacon]

Please ignore my post in it's entirety, I missed the Tatnall bonus point which had a trickle down effect rendering all my scenarios as useless garbage. This wasn't my first rodeo, however I rushed to post, which was a mistake. My apologies for the misinformation.

Besides, it was Black Doug's fault. If he wasn't outside my house protesting Trump's election, I would have been able to concentrate and do the job properly. That's my story and I'm sticking to it!



As long as Tatnall beats St. Andrews and Penn beats Delcastle. It should only come down to four possible scenarios.

Update: The scenario with St. Mark's getting the 8th seed was incorrect. They needed the bonus point from St. Georges to edge out Tower Hill and were eliminated when Glasgow won. I do believe the scenarios and seeding are correct now. But we'll see...this point thing is tricky business.

If Friends and DMA win:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Tower Hill
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - DMA vs 6 - Caravel
4 - Milford vs 5 - St. Georges

If Friends wins and DMA loses:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - St. Georges vs 6 - DMA
4 - Milford vs 5 - Caravel

If Tower Hill and DMA win:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Tower Hill
2 - DMA vs 7 - Friends
3 - Glasgow vs 6 - Caravel
4 - Milford vs 5 - St. Georges

If Tower Hill wins and DMA loses:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Tower Hill
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - St. Georges vs 6 - DMA
4 - Milford vs 5 - Caravel


All points have been added and tiebreakers applied according to the results in each scenario. I believe the calculations to be accurate, however errors or difference of interpretation by the playoff committee are always possible.

 

[Dawgsarehere22]

How many points does at marks have now best case scenario? And how about Howard?

 

[Dawgsarehere22]

How many points does at marks have now best case scenario? And how about Howard?

My calculations project best scenario for st marks 32/10=3.2 or 3.1 over 10 if DMA loses
For Howard they have 32/10 as well no matter what is that correct?

 

[SmallWonderSports]

Tower Hill...DMA, Tatnall wins and a loss to Friends today equals four bonus points, giving them 29/9=3.22

If my math is correct they'll narrowly edge the 3.2 of St. Mark's. Glasgow beating St. G's and keeping them at 8 wins was a huge knock for the Spartans.

 

[Throwbackjack]

As long as Tatnall beats St. Andrews and Penn beats Delcastle. It should only come down to four possible scenarios.

If Friends and DMA win:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - St. Mark's
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - DMA vs 6 - Caravel
4 - Milford vs 5 - St. Georges

If Friends wins and DMA loses:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - St. Georges vs 6 - DMA
4 - Milford vs 5 - Caravel

If Tower Hill and DMA win:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Tower Hill
2 - DMA vs 7 - Friends
3 - Glasgow vs 6 - Caravel
4 - Milford vs 5 - St. Georges

If Tower Hill wins and DMA loses:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Tower Hill
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - St. Georges vs 6 - DMA
4 - Milford vs 5 - Caravel


All points have been added and tiebreakers applied according to the results in each scenario. I believe the calculations to be accurate, however errors or difference of interpretation by the playoff committee are always possible.

I believe this is incorrect. If Friends wins, then friends and Milford both end up with 39 points and caravel and St. George's 38, if Tatnall beats St. Andrews today and Friends gets one point from Tatnall. This means Friends and Milford play each other and it appears that Friends would be the 4 seed because their opponents have more wins.

 

[FootballOG]

No matter what tower hill is 8th seed

 

[ravensrooster2]

No matter what tower hill is 8th seed

They have to win to get in.. its a play-off game for them

 

[FootballOG]

No look at the points

 

[SmallWonderSports]

Win or lose Hillers are in. I agree. Don't forget their 9 game index, and the fact that they'll be picking up bonus points today from DMA and Tatnall most likely. Not to mention a loss to Friends is a 2 point loss.

 

[Jawnsky]

I am crunching some numbers.....Porky Pig might be on to something!

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

I believe this is incorrect. If Friends wins, then friends and Milford both end up with 39 points and caravel and St. George's 38, if Tatnall beats St. Andrews today and Friends gets one point from Tatnall. This means Friends and Milford play each other and it appears that Friends would be the 4 seed because their opponents have more wins.

If DMA wins, Milford gets to 40.

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

I don't have much of an opinion on here sometimes, but Tower Hill getting in with that schedule is a crock, period. St. Mark's hasn't ducked the heavy competition all year and Tower Hill plays this little sisters of the poor schedule and not even a full 10 games and gets rewarded by the point index. It's awful.

 

[bbmvp]

St. George's will also get another bonus pt from William Penn, for going 9-1, today once they beat Delcastle. So them and Friends tied at 39? Comes down to opponents wins

 

[ravensrooster2]

TOWER HILL 25 +2 FRIENDS +1 DMA +1 + 1TATNALL 29 3.23
ST MARKS 28 +2 SALS +1 CARAVEL +1 DMA 32 3.2
HOWARD 28 +4 DICKINSON 32 3.2

The St G loss not getting to 9 wins killed St Marks and Howard and got TH in the field..unless DMA loses then Howard gets in

 

[ravensrooster2]

Dave Bursler ‏@runningman12001 2m2 minutes ago
Conrad 6 DMA 0 @BradMyersTNJ #delhs

 

[runningman12001]

DMA 7 Conrad 6 end of three.

 

[ravensrooster2]

mansa mclean ‏@MansaMclean 5m5 minutes ago
12-7 Conrad with 8:38 left in the game #delhs

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

Conrad 12, DMA 7. Any. Given. Saturday. Wow.

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

Friends up on Tower Hill 7-0 heading to the 2nd quarter.

 

[ravensrooster2]

wonder if TH knows they are in a must win situation.

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

If Friends wins and DMA loses:

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 - Friends
3 - St. Georges vs 6 - DMA
4 - Milford vs 5 - Caravel

So if this holds, we could have some very interesting semifinal matchups Thanksgiving weekend.

 

[ravensrooster2]

Caravel will have to go down South two weeks in row,,gonna be tough... St G vs Glasgow rd 2 will be epic but I am not convinced Howard can't beat Woodbridge. Howard will match up well with them and are more battle tested. The team that makes a fewest mistakes and penalties will win.. If Howard can pul it off that would set up a St G or Caravel vs Glasgow final,, Somehow I think we are facing a CA vs Glasgow final.. just a gut feeling.. Larkins may be the best player in D2

 

[delawarenole]

I don't have much of an opinion on here sometimes, but Tower Hill getting in with that schedule is a crock, period. St. Mark's hasn't ducked the heavy competition all year and Tower Hill plays this little sisters of the poor schedule and not even a full 10 games and gets rewarded by the point index. It's awful.

Tower Hill doesn't deserve to be in and is basically a bye for Woodbridge

 

[ravensrooster2]

Tower Hill doesn't deserve to be in and is basically a bye for Woodbridge

Tower Hill is not in.. Howard is.. and Howard can beat Woodbridge

 

[fanoffootball123]

Woodbridge -17 vs Howard

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

Howard's gotten better as the season has gone on, but Woodbridge still has the advantage of 1 being at home and 2 being able to match Howard athlete for athlete. It's nice the defending champs got in, but I think Woodbridge wins that one easily.

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

Will you be traveling to the land of the great unwashed next week RR?

 

[FBLAX23]

Caravel will not be a 5 seed and Friends will be possibly a 4 or 5, depending on tie breakers.

 

[ravensrooster2]

Will you be traveling to the land of the great unwashed next week RR?

yep.. gonna enjoy my first experience in Southern Bucs Country.. any dining/drinking recommendations? wanna meet up?

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

I would go with Mama Maria's, pretty good Italian. After that it's the usual suspects. Ruby T's Applbees. Perhaps a few beers after the game? Abbott's offers food for the more sophisticated palette and is pretty good as well.

 

[fanoffootball123]

Where in the world is Woodbridge

 

[GateKeeperRefugee]

Where in the world is Woodbridge

Bridgeville. Greenwood if you believe the postal listing.

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

Where in the world is Woodbridge

Right smack dab in the middle of God's country.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/W...0a387ed01813424!8m2!3d38.778401!4d-75.6127287

 

[ravensrooster2]

Caravel will not be a 5 seed and Friends will be possibly a 4 or 5, depending on tie breakers.

CA 32 +4 Capitol +1 Sals + 1 Cape 38
Friends 34 +4 TH +1 Tatnall 39
You are correct

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 Caravel
3 - St. Georges vs 6 Friends
4 - Milford vs 5 DMA

DMA and Friends could be flip flopped based on tie breakers.. CA vs Glasgow final is impossible lol

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

CA 32 +4 Capitol +1 Sals + 1 Cape 38
Friends 34 +4 TH +1 Tatnall 39
You are correct

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 Caravel
3 - St. Georges vs 6 Friends
4 - Milford vs 5 DMA

DMA and Friends could be flip flopped based on tie breakers.. CA vs Glasgow final is impossible lol

No free beer for U RR

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

CA 32 +4 Capitol +1 Sals + 1 Cape 38
Friends 34 +4 TH +1 Tatnall 39
You are correct

1 - Woodbridge vs 8 - Howard
2 - Glasgow vs 7 Caravel
3 - St. Georges vs 6 Friends
4 - Milford vs 5 DMA

DMA and Friends could be flip flopped based on tie breakers.. CA vs Glasgow final is impossible lol

Milford is at 39 as well. Maybe they are going on a road trip as previously mentioned.

 

[ravensrooster2]

Right smack dab in the middle of God's country.
https://www.google.com/maps/place/W...0a387ed01813424!8m2!3d38.778401!4d-75.6127287

upon further review not gonna happen this week CA will play Glasgow.. If CA wins and Howard wins were on

 

[ravensrooster2]

Milford is at 39 as well. Maybe they are going on a road trip as previously mentioned.

true.. this is getting complicated lol

 

[ravensrooster2]

St G ,Milford , Friends all in a tie break at 39 pts DMA has 38

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

true.. this is getting complicated lol

Guess I better figure out where i'm eating at.