D2 Playoff Picture After Week 8

[ReturnOfTheGate]

And then there were 10. St. Mark's and St. E dropping their games this weekend all but eliminates them from the playoff picture and McKean's hopes are hanging on, but still there. Here's what it looks like:

1. AI DuPont (7-0, 4-0 Flight B)
Points to date: 32 = 4.57
Remaining schedule: @ Brandywine 11/3, v Dickinson 11/9
Possible bonus points left: 2 (Howard and McKean getting to 7 wins)
Potential final point total/index: 42 = 4.67
Tigers continue to roll along to an unbeaten season. Without any major upsets, they’re locked in as the top seed in D2

2. Delmar (8-0, 4-0 Henny South)
Points to date: 34 = 4.25
Remaining schedule: @ Milford 11/2, @ Woodbridge 11/9
Possible bonus points left: 1 (Woodbridge getting to 7 wins)
Potential final point total/index: 43 = 4.3
Delmar looks to be locked in as the 2nd seed unless a little help around D2 gets them to the top, but two home games is good enough chance for them to defend their title

3. Friends (7-1, 2-0 SPL)
Points to date: 33 = 4.125
Remaining schedule: vs. Tower Hill 11/10
Possible bonus points left: 1 (Woodbridge gets to 7 wins)
Potential final point total/index 38 = 4.222
A bye week for Friends to prepare for Tower Hill (who plays Dickinson, so that’s almost like a bye). Should be a fun game Saturday November 10th.

4. Tower Hill (7-1, 2-0 SPL)
Points to date: 32 = 4.0
Remaining schedule: @ Dickinson 11/2, @ Friends 11/10
Possible bonus points left: 1 (Harford Tech gets to 9 wins)
Potential final point total/index 41 = 4.1
Tower could potentially pick up 10 points in two weeks with wins over Friends and Dickinson and Harford Tech possibly getting to 9 wins. Will be interesting to see how that goes.

5. Archmere (7-1, 3-0 DSC)
Points to date: 30 = 3.75
Remaining schedule: vs. Charter 11/2, @ FSMA 11/8
Possible bonus points left: 2 (Dover gets to 9 wins, DMA gets to 7)
Potential final point total/index: 42 = 4.2
The Auks hot streak continues on and with 10 easy points on the field and 2 bonus points likely, they’ll have a home game the first weekend.

6. Howard (6-2, 4-1 Flight B)
Points to date: 29 = 3.625
Remaining schedule: vs. Christiana 11/1, @ Glasgow 11/9
Possible bonus points left: 3 (Hodgson and AI getting to 9 wins, McKean getting to 7)
Potential final point total/index: 40 = 4.0
Getting back on track on a slippery track, Howard has a short week with Christiana, then always pesky Glasgow. If they take care of business, they should be fine for the 5th seed, depending on the Tower/Friends game.

7. Woodbridge (6-2 overall, 4-0 Henny South)
Points to date: 27 = 3.375
Remaining schedule: @ Indian River 11/2, vs. Delmar 11/9
Possible bonus points left: 2 (Delmar and Dover getting to 9 wins)
Potential final point total/index: 37 = 3.7
Woodbridge punished St. Mark’s in a game I didn’t even expect would go down like that. Looks like the Blue Raiders are tournament ready. Should beat Indian River before hosting Delmar the final Friday of the regular season. Could be game of the year material.

8. Milford (5-3 overall, 3-1 Henny South)
Points to date: 26 = 3.25
Remaining schedule: vs. Delmar 11/2, @ Lake Forest 11/9
Possible bonus points left: 3 (DMA and Woodbridge getting to 7 wins, Delmar getting to 9)
Potential final point total/Index: 37 = 3.7
Milford won, but at a cost, losing a player in their game against Indian River…and next week is Delmar. Tough sledding ahead.

9. DMA (5-3 overall, 3-1 DSC)
Points to date: 25 = 3.125
Remaining schedule: vs. Newark 11/2, vs. Conrad 11/10
Possible bonus points left: 2 (Archmere and Hodgson getting to 9 wins)
Potential final point total/index 37 = 3.7
After taking care of FSMA, DMA is on the doorstep of the tournament. Keeping focus against Newark and cross the street rival Conrad will be key, as well as Archmere and Hodgson getting to 9 wins.

10. McKean (5-3 overall, 2-3 Flight B)
Points to date: 23 = 2.875
Remaining schedule: vs. Mount Pleasant 11/2, @ Christiana 11/10
Potential bonus points left: 2 (AI getting to 9 wins, Howard to 7)
Potential final point total/index: 35 = 3.5
McKean still has a shot, but it’s going to come down to some help around the bonus points area. Beat Mount and Christiana and hope for the best.

 

[BackinBlack86]

Two SPL's in top 4.. that just aint right

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Give them credit for scheduling enough cupcakes to put the points on the board. It's not exactly fair, but until DIAA makes some changes, is what it is.

 

[Ikeyfbst2]

Milford coach was not ejected

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Somebody on Twitter reported that wrong then. Fixed.

 

[BackinBlack86]

 

[bbmvp]

How are you coming up with 26 for Milford?
1, 0, 6, 4, 4, 0, 6, 4

 

[Titanium Shadow]

How are you coming up with 26 for Milford?
1, 0, 6, 4, 4, 0, 6, 4

I believe he is giving Milford 1 point for Delmar having 8 wins.

 

[bbmvp]

They play this Friday, I guess.

 

[Rockem sockem]

Probably for the 7th win of woodbridge. No way that woodbridge is losing to IR.

 

[VoiceofReason247]

You guys just keep forgetting about St. E’s.

D2 playoffs are virtually set with the below 8 teams
AI
Delmar
Friends
Tower Hill
Archmere
Howard
DMA
Woodbridge

But St. E’s still has the best chance to crash the party. Beating St. Marks and Newark finishing with 3.4. Only Woodbridge can match that if if Delmar goes 10-0 with Cambridge beating Easton getting to 7 wins tie breakers take effect between the 2.

McKean (Max points 3.3) is out they need Woodbridge or DMA to lose 2 (not winning any tie breakers). 5 wins with combined record of 6-31 (Conrad has 3 of those 6) who have been outscored 267-1120. Wow!!! Their going to finish at least .500 so something to build on. They should be in the hunt to get into the playoffs again next couple of years as they have contracted (Tatnall, Red Lion and Delcastle for next 2 years) just have to get through Flight B with 2 losses.

Milford and Brandywine are in the same boat not sure they can sneak in but they both have chance to make a 3 way tie for conference champion.

Milford will needs to win out and look for Delmar to beat Woodbridge forcing 3 way tie for Hen South.

Brandywine needs to win out. Howard and AI should do the rest to force a 3 way tie in Flight B.

 

[VoiceofReason247]

Also even if Milford and Woodbridge maxes out at 3.7 Woodbridge would be in by virtue of Conference champ. DMA would be in over MIlford because they beat them.

 

[fanoffootball123]

Tower Hill schedule sucks. What an embarrassment that they will claim a spot after playing basically nobody.

 

[Uncle Bumfuzzled]

Tower Hill schedule sucks. What an embarrassment that they will claim a spot after playing basically nobody.

I hear you. I like a Howard visiting Tower Hill for a night game in the playoffs. There was one in 2015. Howard won. It was a good game.
It took a lot of pressure off of needing advanced math for the city rankings.

 

[fanoffootball123]

Teams Tower Hill could play:

Howard
AI
Mount
B-Wine

Maybe :

Caravel
Archmere
St Marks
ST E

Instead of Perkiomen, George School, Red Lion and Dickinson .

Hell they don’t even play DMA anymore

 

[EverybodysfavoriteQB6]

Tower Hill schedule sucks. What an embarrassment that they will claim a spot after playing basically nobody.

I do agree they have a weak schedule and should add tougher teams to it. It not only shows the state how they compare to the rest and beyond that it gets them better conditioned to be playing these teams in the playoffs. With that being said, in the past 3 out of 4 times they have made the playoffs, the games have been highly competitive. In 2015, if Howard (who ended up winning the title that year) hadn't scored 2 quick TDs in the first 5 minutes they would've won that game. They outplayed them in the 2nd and 3rd quarter and actually had a chance to win with about 5 minutes left but there was a dropped pass on 4th down in a one score game, and then howard scored a garbage time touchdown with no time left on the clock. Last season they were down 7-6 to friends late in the 4th. against woodbridge in 2014, QB forced a pass on 2nd down late in the 4th 28-20. also earlier in the game kid had a breakaway td in which he fumbled on the 5 running into the end zone. Am i saying they are the best team in the state? No but I'm tired of hearing every year they don't deserve to be there when there is no proof in the numbers that they shouldn't be there when they are always competitive.

 

[Ravenroosterjr]

I do agree they have a weak schedule and should add tougher teams to it. It not only shows the state how they compare to the rest and beyond that it gets them better conditioned to be playing these teams in the playoffs. With that being said, in the past 3 out of 4 times they have made the playoffs, the games have been highly competitive. In 2015, if Howard (who ended up winning the title that year) hadn't scored 2 quick TDs in the first 5 minutes they would've won that game. They outplayed them in the 2nd and 3rd quarter and actually had a chance to win with about 5 minutes left but there was a dropped pass on 4th down in a one score game, and then howard scored a garbage time touchdown with no time left on the clock. Last season they were down 7-6 to friends late in the 4th. against woodbridge in 2014, QB forced a pass on 2nd down late in the 4th 28-20. also earlier in the game kid had a breakaway td in which he fumbled on the 5 running into the end zone. Am i saying they are the best team in the state? No but I'm tired of hearing every year they don't deserve to be there when there is no proof in the numbers that they shouldn't be there when they are always competitive.

Agreed.

 

[Shine bright like a diamond]

Not sure what DIAA can do except limit the number of out of state teams. If they do that Caravel will be ineligible every year because they can’t find enough in state teams now.

 

[WayneJay]

I do agree they have a weak schedule and should add tougher teams to it. It not only shows the state how they compare to the rest and beyond that it gets them better conditioned to be playing these teams in the playoffs. With that being said, in the past 3 out of 4 times they have made the playoffs, the games have been highly competitive. In 2015, if Howard (who ended up winning the title that year) hadn't scored 2 quick TDs in the first 5 minutes they would've won that game. They outplayed them in the 2nd and 3rd quarter and actually had a chance to win with about 5 minutes left but there was a dropped pass on 4th down in a one score game, and then howard scored a garbage time touchdown with no time left on the clock. Last season they were down 7-6 to friends late in the 4th. against woodbridge in 2014, QB forced a pass on 2nd down late in the 4th 28-20. also earlier in the game kid had a breakaway td in which he fumbled on the 5 running into the end zone. Am i saying they are the best team in the state? No but I'm tired of hearing every year they don't deserve to be there when there is no proof in the numbers that they shouldn't be there when they are always competitive.

You make a couple of good points about TH being competitive in their playoff appearances, however your description of what would have changed the outcome of the 2015 game against Howard doesn't hold up. No way can you cherry pick a couple of plays (out of the first quarter of a game), change them and then assume that everything after that would have played out the same way. Different plays would likely have been called & different strategies used by both teams based on the score at the time.

 

[WayneJay]

You guys just keep forgetting about St. E’s.

D2 playoffs are virtually set with the below 8 teams
AI
Delmar
Friends
Tower Hill
Archmere
Howard
DMA
Woodbridge

But St. E’s still has the best chance to crash the party. Beating St. Marks and Newark finishing with 3.4. Only Woodbridge can match that if if Delmar goes 10-0 with Cambridge beating Easton getting to 7 wins tie breakers take effect between the 2.

McKean (Max points 3.3) is out they need Woodbridge or DMA to lose 2 (not winning any tie breakers). 5 wins with combined record of 6-31 (Conrad has 3 of those 6) who have been outscored 267-1120. Wow!!! Their going to finish at least .500 so something to build on. They should be in the hunt to get into the playoffs again next couple of years as they have contracted (Tatnall, Red Lion and Delcastle for next 2 years) just have to get through Flight B with 2 losses.

Milford and Brandywine are in the same boat not sure they can sneak in but they both have chance to make a 3 way tie for conference champion.

Milford will needs to win out and look for Delmar to beat Woodbridge forcing 3 way tie for Hen South.

Brandywine needs to win out. Howard and AI should do the rest to force a 3 way tie in Flight B.

Nice piece of analysis. DK yet if I agree with your math, but I definitely agree that almost all of the focus is on which 8 teams will have the highest point averages without factoring in if a team that's outside of the top 8 could have a way in by winning a tiebreaker in an auto-bid conference.

 

[fanoffootball123]

Just to be clear I never said Tower Hill wasn’t any good. They do belong as evidence by how they’ve performed in the playoffs . But that schedule. Come on man!

 

[BackinBlack86]

Not sure what DIAA can do except limit the number of out of state teams. If they do that Caravel will be ineligible every year because they can’t find enough in state teams now.

Caravel is in pretty good shape as far as schedule next year just need 1 more game.. Some in state teams stepped up


in state games 8

Woodbridge
CR
Laurel
St Georges
Glasgow
Concord
DMA
St E's

 

[Ravenroosterjr]

Just to be clear I never said Tower Hill wasn’t any good. They do belong as evidence by how they’ve performed in the playoffs . But that schedule. Come on man!

They are probably the most hated team in the state. Uncalled for but thats just how it is.

 

[BackinBlack86]

I dont know anyone that hates Tower Hill I know some Sallies people might but I think that drama was over LAX

 

[BackinBlack86]

Harford Tech is going to win 9.. Joppatowne has no chance of beating them

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

I'm surprised Rising Sun beat them Friday night.

 

[BackinBlack86]

yeah me too.. my alma mater J-Towne hasnt had a good team in a while.. Ever since they had to forfeit the season because of ineligible player and Coach Waibel left

 

[MightyMik]

Tower Hill picks StE up for next year.

 

[FSMAtothechip]

I'm surprised Rising Sun beat them Friday night.

yeah something had to have been up, or just got outplayed, who knows

 

[BackinBlack86]

sloppy track(standing water on sidelines) at Rising Sun on Sat afternoon.. Tech is a turf team.( All Harford County HS's have turf and play Friday nights except Patterson Mill but their turf is going in this summer) From some info from HC people and some of the vids I saw Rising Sun was just more physical. They came to play and were poppin.. Tech didnt seem to want to be there playing in that mess according to some parents I know.. Rising Sun drove 70 with about 2:30 some left converting 4 4th downs for the game winner..

 

[BackinBlack86]

Caravel full.. 9 in state games.That might be a record

Woodbridge
CR
Laurel
St Georges
Glasgow
St Andrews
Concord
Silver Oak (MD)
DMA
St E's

 

[EverybodysfavoriteQB6]

You make a couple of good points about TH being competitive in their playoff appearances, however your description of what would have changed the outcome of the 2015 game against Howard doesn't hold up. No way can you cherry pick a couple of plays (out of the first quarter of a game), change them and then assume that everything after that would have played out the same way. Different plays would likely have been called & different strategies used by both teams based on the score at the time.

You are right I agree with you every snap matters in a game can’t take out plays and say that it would’ve changed the outcome. I was just trying to prove my point that they were one or two plays away from beating that Howard team that won the championship and that they have never been pushovers in the playoffs.

 

[zappa3]

Tower Hill picks StE up for next year.

Whoa....going out on a limb there!

 

[Uncle Bumfuzzled]

You are right I agree with you every snap matters in a game can’t take out plays and say that it would’ve changed the outcome. I was just trying to prove my point that they were one or two plays away from beating that Howard team that won the championship and that they have never been pushovers in the playoffs.

That Howard - TH game was a dandy. It was one cold night, indeed.
I would love to see that match up again this year. I guess it would be for the D2 City Title...

 

[Shine bright like a diamond]

Caravel full.. 9 in state games.That might be a record
BiB,

Was that a choice to go that many in state games? Or

In state teams are willing to play them because of current record?

 

[BackinBlack86]

little bit of both probably..CA always tries to get as many in state as they can before moving on to OOS..Some of it also has to do with new coaches at schools that previously wouldn't play them actually that has allot to do with it

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Glad Caravel has in-state teams willing to step up. Teams ducking and dodging probably cost them the state title last year.

 

[Uncle Bumfuzzled]

Whoa....going out on a limb there!

A city D2 match up. Now if we could ever get that Howard-St E.'s game.

 

[SouthDude]

Glad Caravel has in-state teams willing to step up. Teams ducking and dodging probably cost them the state title last year.

Did you take stupid pills or something this morning? and I thought nonstop made stupid statements....

 

[ReturnOfTheGate]

Okay, so I'm going to edit this post because I'm working on being a little calmer, but if you can't understand that Caravel was struggling to find games last season and how they had the talent to win it all, but missed the tournament by percentage points, then you are the one OD'ing on stupid pills. But going forward, know that I won't be as generous with my responses.