Playoff Outlook - May 8

[DELax100]

Still alot of questions heading into the last week of the season. Please note that the projections below assume no crazy upsets.

Top Four Seeds - Sallies and Archmere look to be safely in the top four somewhere. The winner of Tower Hill - Cape also looks to get a bye in the first round. Friends and CR still could end up with the last top four spot.

If Tower Hill loses twice this week (Sallies and Cape) their record will be below .701, taking a bonus point away from all of the teams listed above, and 2 points from Friends. This is the only scenario (barring a major upset) where one of these teams is not seeded in the top six.

Charter - makes the tourney as the Blue Hen winner, but will be seeded low. A loss to St. Marks on Tuesday locks them in at #12, and takes away a bonus point from all of their opponents (CR, Tower, Friends).

DMA - In the tourney (assuming one more win), seeded anywhere from #6-#11, depending on other results.

Dover - A win over Delmar guarantees them a spot - two wins gets them in the #6-#8 seed territory.

The winner of the Sussex Tech - Polytech game on May 11 probably gets a spot.

If St Marks wins their final two games (Charter and Newark) they probably get a spot.

That leaves one spot for Mt Pleasant, Appo, McKean or the Poly-Sussex loser. Brandywine would probably need a win over Mt Pleasant and an upset of Archmere to get into this group.

The reason the picture remains fuzzy is the uncertainty over the final records of Poly, Mt Pleasant, Tower, Charter (will the finish over .701?) and Concord, Wilm Christian, Sussex Tech (will they finish over .501?) - how these teams end the season will effect seedings and who gets the last few spots.

The picture will be clear enough after Tuesday's games to start realistically projecting the final seeds.

 

[1 bad motha]

BIG WEEK COMING UP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

 

[DEsoccer19]

mount beat appo and mckean but lost to poly so that could affect them. I don't see brandywine getting in either way. with the way the points end up mount could get lucky for the second year in a row.

 

[DELax100]

Mount is an interesting situation - they probably need to win all three games this week (Brandywine, William Penn, Concord) - no easy task. But - if they do win out and finish 11-4, it gives all of their opponents an extra bonus point. But - to win out, they would have to beat Concord, dropping Concord to 7-8, and taking away a point from many of the same teams. That is why the final two spots are wide open.

The tiebeaker formula for spots/seeds is:
- head to head (if 3+ teams are in a tie, they have to have all played each other)
- record against common opponents
- cumulative record of opponents

So Mt Pleasant wins over Appo in a two way tie, but may lose out in a three way tie.

 

[DEsoccer19]

they very well may get in at 10 5 with a loss to brandywine today I think. it's going to be interesting to see who gets that last spot

 

[DELax100]

If Mount goes 10-5, PolyTech and Sussex Tech probably take the last two spots.

 

[DEsoccer19]

Sussex will have a losing record if they lose to polytech ! they will most likely lose to cape which makes the 500 going into polytech. I dont see concord or brandywine taking the last spot

 

[DELax100]

I agree that Brandywine (unless they beat Archmere and get some other luck) and Concord look to be out.

A 7-8 Sussex Tech beats a 10-5 Mount Pleasant head to head in a two way tie -on common opponents (3-0 vs. Appo, Hodgson, Concord - MtP 1-2 against same teams) and cumulative record of opponents if the tie has 3 or more teams.

Sussex Tech at 7-8 looks to win all potential tiebreakers - their losses will be to teams seeded above them, and their strength of schedule (cumulative record of opponents) is very strong.

 

[socswimlax93]

mount 9 brandywine 6

 

[DEsoccer19]

I guess mount isnt really scrubs... congrats socswimlax, I'm glad somebody shut those brandywine tools up

 

[socswimlax93]

hey thanks man, i really appreciate that. definitely the best game we've played as a team this year.

 

[socswimlax93]

oh also:

newark 11 polytech 10 (in OT)

 

[delfan1]

Is Laxpower a close proximity to the playoff standings?