Only thing I will disagree with. Offers are based on talent. So to say a kid who has a current offer has less talent then one that does not is not correct. I think the main problem is the players them selves including ones ranked above others have publicly said it was not a very good assement of talent. These athletes talk. I think to them it’s becoming more apparent how these things work. In the past before social media you could make mistakes print what you want make any list. No one would check you. Today the younger generations put far more stock into fair assessments. They rather not have the praise if they know it was not fair. They are also quick to fact check you and point out fraudulent reports. So just do your do diligence. Or keep the list ambiguous in nature. The reason we use analytics to break some of the ties we have in our evaluation is because it makes it a apples to apples comparison. Not different then combine testing.
Kids know also. For example if you have a DB on the list, and a WR that is not yet when they played the WR burned the DB over and over. Then say the WR has a college offer, and the DB does not. or perhaps even plays with the DB in 7 on 7 both know who the best player is. It makes the list a joke even to the ones on it. If they have real self awareness. Most of these younger athletes are more self aware then in the past. They actually value you fairness, it’s high up their hierarchy of needs.
Then the obvious is the list is more for parents. This website posting the list is trying to at Least make enough money to pay for the site. Parent sees list wonders if their kid is on it. Clicks and buys access to premium content. To generate more interest it Would make more sense to put someone number 1 that is maybe a bit controversial. Not saying that is what they did. I’m on the record saying how much I love the Athlete they picked. But im also not blinded by my personal preference to rank him over the clear cut best player. Again this is where you need to have some sort of analytics evaluation to separate bias. Easier to just make a list of ones to watch.
Prep sometimes you are on point and others you say some of the dumbest stuff. You have kids all the time that are 1 good to great in HS talent but without offers due to three big components exposure, grades and/or size. Yes there are many schools that will go to bat with their administration for a under qualified PSA for school admittance but the kid(s) has to be worth it based upon the level of the school. But that has nothing to do with if the kids is a higher talent than another that does get an offer.
The first judgement of top level school's is mainly the eye test, if kid doesn't pass the eye test there needs to be some other factor to persuade the recruiter to look further into the kid (stats, wow factor, good word from reliable source). The second thing is grades because a college assistant main job security is his recruits and if he is bring in talented low grade kids that flunk or drop out within a year or two consistently then his job is short lived. Third is character for pretty much the exact reasons as number 2 character holds weight in a kid being recruited and getting an offer. Unless the talent and size can massively over shadow 2 and 3 the scholly is not offered.
Now maybe you are truly unable to see that because you are able to look through a cloudy lens but many coaches including myself no how it goes with trying to get an undersized, low grade bad attitude with mounds of talent PSA into school.
Give you a couple of examples.
Lynch from AI is #1 wr on this list talented kid good grades and has proven on the field to have the talent. Currently holds 1 offer to a D2 school. Why just that? Size/Speed equation doesn't match he is about 5'10 and not very fast. Not many know about him.
Another example the other way, the CB from Howard last season has been widely criticize about not being a good as DB and consistently beat in coverage. Received a scholly to UCONN. Nice kid and able to progress with his goals but primary reason for getting his 1 and only offer. 6'1 195 good speed and 3.5+ GPA and UCONN severally needs players. Talent was 5,6,7 on the list of priorities. That 1 offer made him the 2nd ranked player in the state of DE by most recruiting sources behind Roberts but ahead of Will Knight. Banks teammate from the year Howard won the state Trevon Bordrick probably top 10 or at least 15 in the state as far as talent that year. No scholly JUCO trip why grades.
And speaking of Knight why wasn't his stock offer greater I believe just about everyone would say he was the most "talented" player in the state. Answer size and speed nothing to do with talent.
This is something that happens everyday, every season, every year. So to say a kid with an offer is a lock more talented than a kid that does not; I'm sorry and don't mean to be rude but your credentials need to be revoked as a scout. That view is the exact reason kids are leaving their current HS and jumping from school to school to try and impress people like you to write and talk about them. Or get persuaded into paying hundreds of dollars to a scouting agency so they can get a scholly not knowing in many cases it hurts them more than help and they are wasting money.